Oz Cyclone Chasers Cyclone Blog

Welcome to our OCC Blog! We will be posting frequently on this blog so please check back for new items regularly. You can also subscribe to get notifications of new posts.

Widespread shower and thunderstorm activity expected over the weekend for Inland Queensland. Isolated Heavy Falls Likely

​ A surface trough will enter southwestern Queensland on Friday and move to the east over the weekend. A Warm, Moist and Unstable atmosphere to the east of the trough will combine with NE'ly winds to create enhanced areas of Thunderstorm activity across much of Inland Central and Northern Queensland during Saturday and Sunday.  Due to the slow Upper Level winds, thunderstorms will likely be slow moving, so the threat of Local Heavy Rainfall and flash flooding is high over inland areas, espe...
Continue reading
7315 Hits

Massive Inland Thunderstorms fire throughout the Gulf and Peninsula this evening....Storms set to keep firing for days.

​Airmass thunderstorms aided by a loaded atmosphere filled with instability and moisture have exploded this afternoon across the Gulf Country and throughout the Peninsula Districts.  The good news? If you live in these areas, the showers and thunderstorms are set to continue for at least the next 7 days!!!!!!! Its been a long time since a big thunderstorm outbreak happened in these parts, and the last few seasons have been very very cruel to farmers. Normanton got hammered this afternoon wi...
Continue reading
8409 Hits

EARLY MODEL DATA INDICATING POSSIBLE TROPICAL LOW IN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA - POSSIBLY SLIDING INTO EASTERN QUEENSLAND........COULD THE RAIN BE FINALLY COMING??

​Nope....this image has nothing to do with the dribble we have seen on some Social Media pages over the past few days. This is a completely different year :) ( some may not get what Im talking about LOL )  Early model data is starting to suggest the REASONABLE probabilities of a Tropical Low forming in the GOC sometime between Boxing day and New Years Eve...This makes us just a little bit excited! Considering the extreme lack of rainfall over Eastern Queensland, especially CQ and NQ I perso...
Continue reading
19777 Hits

TROPICAL LOW SET TO FORM BETWEEN DARWIN AND KALUMBURU - LONGER TERM TROPICAL LOW/TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS TO WESTERN AUSTRALIA

​A very interesting week ahead weather wise across the Tropics. A Tropical Low is set to form somewhere along a weak Monsoonal Trough in the next 24-48 hours, most likely between Darwin/Tiwi Islands, and Kalumburu. The majority of modelling is moving the system over the next week to the WSW-SW, while slowly intensifying....... IF it can move over the warm soupy waters of the Indian Ocean!  OCC is currently going over the modelling, and if we can see more clear cut modelling to suggest a Tro...
Continue reading
10723 Hits

COMPUTER MODELS PICKING UP COLD CORED LOW IN THE CORAL SEA THIS WEEK - TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT NOT EXPECTED DUE TO UNFAVOURABLE CONDITIONS

​As previously discussed over the past few days, the potential is there for some small LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS to form in the Coral Sea over the next few days.  Tropical Cyclones require a favourable environment for the system to become VERTICALLY STACKED to intensify, along with the obvious Sea Surface Temp threshold and other limiting factor ie. Land interaction.  The UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT is completely unfavourable for any TROPICAL intensification of any LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS next wee...
Continue reading
6476 Hits

THUNDERSTORMS FIRE ON THE ATHERTON TABLELANDS

​Afternoon thunderstorms have fired during this afternoon, which have dropped light falls in quite a number of places. with some weakening thunderstorms  also trying their best to reach the North Tropical Coast Coastline.  Favourable thunderstorm steering has allowed thunderstorms to move at around 40kmhr, which is good enough to get them to the coast in November.  However...Thunderstorms during the buildup are very hit and miss, and unfortunately, good rain is too far in between....
Continue reading
3690 Hits

THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN QUEENSLAND TODAY/ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE

​Good morning folks. Well yesterday was a very very very busy day across most of Queensland, with multiple SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS issued across the state. <<<<<We are targeting the Charters Towers region and possibly will be LIVE STREAMING as the afternoon progresses if reception permit>>>>>>>>> A brilliant line of thunderstorms moved into QLD from NSW in the early afternoon yesterday and pushed nearly to the Capricorn Region, bringing heavy rainfa...
Continue reading
12149 Hits

530KM LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH WESTERN QUEENSLAND - Warnings Issued by the BOM

​A very lightning active line of thunderstorms is currently moving to the NE in a line that extends around 530 Kilometres!!!!! Could you imagine the sky out in Longreach right now? It must be very very spectacular, because the lightning tracker is going absolutely nuts!  A Severe Thunderstorm warning has been issued accordingly by the BOM -  TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGfor DAMAGING WIND For people in parts of the North West, Central West and Channel ...
Continue reading
7442 Hits

SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF INLAND QLD/SE QLD POSSIBLE SEVERE POTENTIAL IN PARTS OF INLAND QLD

​A TROUGH will enter South Western Queensland today, which will maintain showers/thunderstorms over a large part of Queensland, with warm and relatively moist Northerly winds feeding into the trough. Warm/Moist winds feeding into the trough will enhance instability leading to an increased chance of thunderstorm activity stretching from the Western Cape York Peninsula, West to the NT border and South to the Warrego/Maranoa to SE Queensland.  For the storm map above - YELLOW - STORMS POSSIBLE...
Continue reading
6909 Hits

THUNDERSTORMS EXPLODE IN THE MARANOA/WARREGO DISTRICTS IN THE PAST HOUR

​In the past hour thunderstorms have exploded in a warm, unstable and better sheared environment in the Maranoa/Warrego Districts.The thunderstorm/shower clusters are quickly moving in a general eastwards movement, and may affect the following notable locations over the next few hours - Injune and Roma. It will be interesting to see how far eastwards these thunderstorms can move, and we will be watching to see if they can make the Darling Downs as the afternoon progresses. A severe thunders...
Continue reading
3053 Hits

THUNDERSTORMS FIRE CLOSE TO TOOWOOMBA AND EAST OF WIVENHOE DAM.....SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS AGAIN ISSUED IN NORTHERN NSW

​As you can see by the OCC RADAR above, thunderstorms have formed in 2 areas so far in SE QLD, with 2x clusters of lightning active cells located near Toowoomba and just east of Wivenhoe Dam. Further shower and thunderstorm activity is expected throughout the afternoon, and in some localised thunderstorms, damaging winds and large hail are a threat if any storms can get going. However, the atmosphere is lacking a few ingredients today that could have made the day a very very good thunderstorm da...
Continue reading
3416 Hits

THUNDERSTORMS FIRE IN NE NSW - SEVERE T'STORM WARNING ISSUED......SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN SE QLD THIS AFTERNOON

​Isolated thunderstorms have developed in NE NSW just south of the border and are slowly pushing north. Large Hail and Damaging winds are possible, and even the chance of some localised flash flooding in small creeks and streams, especially considering how slow moving the thunderstorms are. The current cells are very lightning active, with the majority of lightning strikes being Cloud to Cloud, however some dangerous Cloud to Ground lightning is now being observed via lightning tracker...
Continue reading
3098 Hits

...EYE OF HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVING NORTHWARD JUST OFF OF THE COASTS OF GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA... ...CORE TO POSSIBLY GET CLOSE TO GEORGIA/S CAROLINA BORDER...

​ We have been very fortunate that Matthew's strongest winds have remained a short distance offshore of the Florida Coast thus far, but this should not be a reason for people to be complacent. Only a small deviation to the left of the forecast track could bring these winds onshore. The western eyewall of Matthew, which contains hurricane-force winds, is expected to move over or very near the coast of northeastern Florida and Georgia through tonight. Matthew has begun to move northward at about 1...
Continue reading
3601 Hits

* DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW LASHES THE BAHAMAS WITH 125MPH SUSTAINED WINDS - FURTHER STRENGTHENING FORECASTED BEFORE POUNDING THE FLORIDA COASTLINE *

​Well folks after a week of model watching, Hurricane Matthew is poised to impact the Florida coastline. The first in 11 years....... Its mind boggling to think that a whole continent has not seen a Major Hurricane landfall for that long. Back in 2005 we hardly had video phones, Youtube had just been released.  You can see the significance that this storm poses to the United States when you think about it like that..... Hurricane Matthews core is currently just South West of Grand Bahama an...
Continue reading
2773 Hits

SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN QLD TODAY - DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS IN THE NORTH

As the monsoonal flow over the far north begins to slowly weaken and move eastwards over the eastern Coral Sea, a series of upper troughs will move across southern Queensland during today and tomorrow, bringing instability across much of eastern Queensland. Image Above - CREDIT BOM METEYE  Severe thunderstorms were noted yesterday in parts of Central and Southern Queensland, especially on the Northern Darling Downs and Wide Bay Burnett. Weaker thunderstorm activity extended all the way into...
Continue reading
7546 Hits

TOWNSVILLE TORNADO 4 YEARS AGO TODAY - ESTIMATED GUSTS TO 200KMHR IN HARDEST HIT SUBURBS

​4 years ago this morning, a tornado moved ashore from around the Palm Island group and moved through the centre suburbs of Townsville. Roughly 400 houses were damaged, with 33 reported to have sustained significant damage. Hardest hit areas were Garbutt, Vincent, Gulliver, and Aitkenvale with minor damage reported in some parts of Annandale.  Wind gusts have been estimated to have been between 160-200kmhr by the JCU Cyclone Testing Station. Summary of Event - ( Courtesy of Bureau Of M...
Continue reading
1824 Hits

HEAVY RAINFALL RECORDED ACROSS PARTS OF THE HERBERT AND LOWER BURDEKIN

​As the Monsoon moves east with the associated GOC TROPICAL LOW, heavy rainfall developed at around 11pm last night on the coast between Giru and Ingham. The Townsville to Paluma area received the best falls, and parts of Townsville will likely see the largest 24 hour total since April 2014. Good rainfall overnight also aligned over the northern Burdekin Dam catchment between Herveys Range and Greenvale, and with the Burdekin River already overflowing, further rainfall could mean the Burdekin Ri...
Continue reading
5545 Hits

MONSOON ARRIVES TO AUSTRALIA, TROPICAL LOW TO BRING HEAVY RAIN TO NORTHERN QUEENSLAND FROM THE CAPE , GOC TO THE NORTHERN TROPICAL COAST

​Monsoonal winds have arrived to Northern Australia, and heavy rainfall has begun to fall in areas such as the Cape York Peninsula and the Gulf Country.  A developing TROPICAL LOW is located in the Gulf Country between Mornington Island and Borroloola. All indications are at this stage that the TROPICAL LOW will move in a general easterly direction and make landfall somewhere between Karumba and Kowanyama in the next few days. Intensity wise - It will all depend on how long the sy...
Continue reading
18202 Hits

TROPICAL LOW TO FORM IN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA

​As we have been eluding to for the last few days, a increase in Monsoonal winds will help aid in the development of a TROPICAL LOW somewhere in the Gulf Of Carpenteria.  Most likely in the far western part of the GOC. Early model data was very confident in the system moving to the E-SE and onto the Cape York Peninsula and into the Coral Sea. Unfortunately model data more than 5 days out from an event is rarely indicative of what actually ends up happening in the weather world!  We are...
Continue reading
18456 Hits