Oz Cyclone Chasers Cyclone Blog

Welcome to our OCC Blog! We will be posting frequently on this blog so please check back for new items regularly. You can also subscribe to get notifications of new posts.

Chris was born in Northern Greece and came to Australia as a young boy. He initially lived in Sydney and in 1988 was amazed by a very intense hail storm that smashed his house. This hailstorm had torn off the roof, blown out the windows of his house and left his family in complete shock, all with almost no warning. Since that day, Chris Nitsopoulos (Nitso) has been passionate about studying the weather and learning about what makes thunderstorms tick in order to better understand and forecast them. Upon completing his high school education in Townsville, he went on to James Cook university to begin a degree in Meteorology. Unfortunately Chris could not grasp the intricate mathematical formulas behind the physics involved in meteorology and changed degrees with a year left in his meteorology degree. He completed a degree in Secondary School education majoring in Geography and ironically enough, minoring in mathematics and physics. Nitso successfully taught Geography, Science, Mathematics and Physical Education for 5 years before dropping his full time teaching load to pursue a small business goal which could give him a lot more time off and help fund his storm chasing. In 2010, Nitso began a business selling sports shoes and supplements online. In 2013, Nitso shut down that business and now works primarily on Oz Cyclone Chasers and does a couple of days supply teaching at a couple of Catholic schools in Townsville The fact that his workload was far reduced allowed him to pursue his burning desire to chase tropical cyclones.



Even though Chris never completed his Meteorology degree, his passion for studying the weather and in particular severe weather systems has never diminished. During the dry season you would normally see Chris spending much of his spare time burying his head in old meteorology books or online researching meteorological studies from around the world. Chris enjoys and learns from every storm chase regardless of its success/failure, in fact Chris believes that in storm chasing you learn more from a failed chase or a failed forecast because it drives you to learn why you got it wrong and to strive to get it right next time. Chris is a registered storm spotter with the Bureau of Meteorology, he is a trained first aid officer and a qualified gym instructor. Chris also enjoys refereeing Rugby League and Rugby Union part time in the Winter months and says that he would go crazy with boredom and weigh 200kg if he didn’t have a hobby like refereeing to keep him fit and busy in the months between April and October. 



Chris is in charge of all of our subscriber services at OCC. 


WESTERN AUSTRALIAN TROPICAL LOW LANDFALL VIDEO UPDATE

WESTERN AUSTRALIAN TROPICAL LOW LANDFALL VIDEO UPDATE
A Tropical LOW is approaching Port Hedland and should make landfall in the vicinity of Port Hedland this afternoon/evening. Please take a look at the video update below for more details.  Another LOW is developing near the Cocos Islands.  If you liked this video update, consider becoming an OCC Subscriber. Subscribers get these videos regularly when a Tropical LOW or cyclone is in play across the Australian Area Of Responsibility.  www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/subscribe
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TROPICAL LOW TO FORM IN CORAL SEA AND BEGIN MOVING TOWARDS QUEENSLAND

TROPICAL LOW TO FORM IN CORAL SEA AND BEGIN MOVING TOWARDS QUEENSLAND
​Computer models indicate a Tropical LOW will begin forming in the far North-Eastern Coral Sea over the next 24-48 hours and adopt a westerly track towards Queensland over the next week. About 30% of modelling indicates that this system will deepen sufficiently to become a Tropical Cyclone, while approximately 70% of computer models continue to indicate that this system will likely remain a LOW pressure system as it hits the Queensland coast next week.  Once guidance begins to solidify...
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TROPICAL CYCLONE LIKELY THIS WEEK

A Tropical LOW has formed this afternoon and will gradually deepen from later tomorrow while moving southwards in the Indian Ocean off Western Australia's coastline. Computer models indicate the system is likely to attain Tropical Cyclone intensity on Wednesday or Thursday while approaching the Pilbara coastline. Below is a preliminary assessment of available model guidance of track/crossing locations and intensities. Please be aware this is preliminary data and until the LOW form...
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OCC - STATE WEATHER FORECAST VIDEOS - 19TH MARCH 2017

OCC - STATE WEATHER FORECAST VIDEOS - 19TH MARCH 2017
Morning folks, A very dynamic and active weather pattern across our three northern states over the coming week including the possibility for a Tropical Cyclone. We take a look at each state in detail.  To gain access to these updates almost daily during the wet season along with plenty of other subscriber benefits head to www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/subscribe  Subscribers - we will take a look at the future cyclone off WA in more detail in the FUTURE AUSSIE CYCLONE UPDATE at 10AM ...
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MONSOON TROUGH TO REDEVELOP TOMORROW

MONSOON TROUGH TO REDEVELOP TOMORROW
The monsoon trough is likely to reform over the Arafura Sea tomorrow. It is still unclear about whether or not this trough will stick around for very long or more importantly whether it will drift south to affect Queensland, WA and NT tropical areas in the medium to long term.  Computer models indicate weak LOWS are likely to form along the monsoon trough in the Indian Ocean and the Arafura/Timor Seas over the coming week.  An unrelated trough and LOW in the Coral Sea will bring h...
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STATE WEATHER VIDEO UPDATES - FEBRUARY 27 2017

STATE WEATHER VIDEO UPDATES - FEBRUARY 27 2017
Good morning folks,  Today's updates have been released to the general public and talk about ​The next WA/NT Cyclone/LOW Coral Sea trough system to impact Queensland ​Upper level LOW impacting SE Queensland Spectacular storms in the Pilbara Terrible news with Bill Paxton passing away this morning. I'm sure there will be many storm chasers like me who first started chasing after watching that awesome film (Twister) starring the great man in 1996. If you haven't watched it check it out and ha...
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TROPICAL CYCLONE DINEO HITS MOZAMBIQUE

Tropical Cyclone Dineo hit Mozambique's (East Africa) coastline a little after 1AM this morning Queensland time. The system made landfall as a Category 3 Tropical Cyclone on the Australian scale with wind gusts likely to have been in the vicinity of 160 - 180km/hr. The Tropical Cyclone was the strongest one to hit Mozambique's coastline since TC Jokwe in 2008.  Dineo is the third tropical cyclone of the so-far very quiet SW Indian Ocean cyclone season (The SW Indian Ocean season r...
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GULF LOW TO FORM LATE THIS WEEK - NO THREAT TO NORTH QUEENSLAND COAST

Hot on the heels of the Western Australian LOW, another LOW is likely to form in the Gulf Of Carpentaria in a couple of days. Contrary to what some media outlets and social media pages might have you believe there is no threat of this system becoming a tropical cyclone off the Far Northern Queensland coast , we've even heard of some ridiculous predictions of a cyclone or LOW hitting our lovely home - Townsville - by Saturday. This is utter garbage. The system is likely to for...
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CYCLONE OR NOT IT DOESN'T MATTER - PILBARA COAST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE LOW END CYCLONIC CONDITIONS

A Tropical LOW is developing near the Kimberley coastline. The LOW will move offshore tomorrow and develop further. On Wednesday the LOW will move south and lie near or on the Pilbara coast. Gales with damaging wind gusts will develop along the Pilbara coast and widespread rain will also accompany these strong winds. Let's take a look at what computer models have to say.  The Euro model has a borderline Category One system making landfall on Wednesday evening near Roebourne with winds ...
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MONSOON TO FIRE UP WITH MULTIPLE LOWS POSSIBLE

Well by now we should all know that the monsoon is firing up and will create a LOW for Western Australia, but did you know latest computer model outputs from multiple weather models show the Gulf Of Carpentaria joining in on the action with a LOW/cyclone of their own? A couple of models even show a LOW in the Coral Sea off Queensland's North-East coast.  The primary action of course is already showing signs of forming soon near Timor. That first LOW will remain weak and ...
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ANOTHER LOW FOR WESTERN AUSTRALIA

ANOTHER LOW FOR WESTERN AUSTRALIA
​The monsoon is regenerating and a LOW will form along it over the next few days most likely in the Timor Sea or on the Top End coastline of the Territory. This LOW is likely to remain weak, broad (large) and slow moving for a few days before moving in a WSW direction next week roughly parallel to the coast. The track seems to be eerily similar to the LOW that just went through last week. Computer models are showing that the LOW will lie in an unfavorable developmental environment...
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WIDESPREAD COASTAL RAIN ON THE WAY FOR NE QUEENSLAND

WIDESPREAD COASTAL RAIN ON THE WAY FOR NE QUEENSLAND
A Coral Sea trough system will push west tomorrow and Tuesday, making landfall later on Tuesday or early Wednesday across NE Queensland. This will result in some moderate to heavy falls of rain across the NE Queensland coast over the next few days. Showers begin tomorrow from this feature, but the heavier totals don't arrive until the trough makes it onshore Tuesday/Tuesday night and then are expected to continue into Wednesday before easing off on Thursday. More details in the images ...
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OCC - PUBLIC VIDEO UPDATE ON WA TROPICAL CYCLONE - 27 JAN 2017

OCC - PUBLIC VIDEO UPDATE ON WA TROPICAL CYCLONE - 27 JAN 2017
​Good evening everyone, please find below a video update on what is going on with the WA Tropical LOW as it tracks WSW off the Pilbara coastline. The JTWC has officially called this Tropical Cyclone 03S, the Aussie BoM will likely follow suit over the next 12-24 hours and call it Alfred. We will have another public update on January 28 around 7:00PM Queensland time.  For a more comprehensive look at this system and all current and upcoming Aussie cyclones, support our work and become a...
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STATE WEATHER VIDEO UPDATES - 23 JANUARY 2017

STATE WEATHER VIDEO UPDATES - 23 JANUARY 2017
​A Tropical LOW is forming along the Western Gulf Coast and moving into the Northern Territory and could become a Tropical Cyclone off WA late in the week. A weak LOW is also forming in the Northern Coral Sea and another weak one near Christmas Island.  A surface change pushing through Queensland's Central Coast is creating scattered showers and storms, widespread rain in the Territory and a fairly quiet day across W.A today is expected.  Please find your state weather video updates be...
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TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE LATE NEXT WEEK

The monsoon is ready to fire up again with a Tropical LOW likely to form along it early next week. If this LOW can get itself over water then it has reasonable potential to intensify into a Tropical Cyclone. The LOW is likely to form near the Top End coast of the Northern Territory, but as the image shows above there are two possible formation locations on Monday or Tuesday and it is unclear which of these formation locations will become the dominant region for cyclogenesis . The LOW i...
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TROPICAL LOW FORMS NEAR MOUNT ISA

A Tropical LOW has formed to the near north of Mount Isa this afternoon and will track into the Northern Territory tomorrow. The LOW will take the heavy showers and thunderstorms away into the Northern Territory with it. The Bureau Of Meteorology in the Northern Territory has issued Severe Thunderstorm Warnings and flood watches for inland rivers over the next few days. Ensemble modelling shows falls of up to 150mm possible tomorrow across the Barkly Districts of the NT and the Tanami region on ...
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STATE WEATHER VIDEOS - 9 JAN 2017

STATE WEATHER VIDEOS - 9 JAN 2017
TODAY'S SUBSCRIBER VIDEOS HAVE BEEN RELEASED TO THE GENERAL PUBLIC  Morning folks,  Wow what a night for the Innisfail/Tully region again... Yet another system formed along a convergence zone. More to come. A LOW hit the Gulf Coast too overnight and is tracking into the NT while we are also watching the Solomons LOW which is now born again and heading towards the Central Coral Sea over the next few days (and maybe Queensland) and the Cocos/Christmas LOW which doesn't know what the hell...
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TWIN TROPICAL LOWS IN THE CORAL SEA COULD MAKE LIFE INTERESTING FOR QUEENSLANDERS NEXT WEEK

TWIN TROPICAL LOWS IN THE CORAL SEA COULD MAKE LIFE INTERESTING FOR QUEENSLANDERS NEXT WEEK
Hot on the heels of the recent active monsoonal system across the state's north and the Central Queensland trough, two Tropical LOWS are about to operate in the Coral Sea over the next few days. Tropical LOW 96P has formed off the coast of Ingham (North Queensland) while Tropical LOW 97P is forming just north of the Solomon Islands. Their longer term track could be interesting for Queensland.  TROPICAL LOW 96P 96P formed early today off the coast of Ingham. At 4PM it was located at latitude...
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BROOME TO FEEL EFFECTS OF TROPICAL LOW OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING

BROOME TO FEEL EFFECTS OF TROPICAL LOW OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING
Tropical LOW 94S is currently located about 150 - 200km to the ESE of Broome and is expected to track slightly west overnight to lie a little closer to the major Kimberley town by morning. As it pushes to the west or west-south-west overnight, the system is expected to whip up winds of 20-30 knots with squally gusts to 40 knots particularly early tomorrow morning. The model below shows winds whipping up between 5 and 8AM tomorrow morning on the Western Kimberley as the LOW makes its closest...
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WILL THIS BECOME AUSTRALIA'S NEXT TROPICAL CYCLONE?

The NT LOW has finally made its decision to move west towards the Western Top End. All eyes will now be on the LOW and whether it can get offshore and intensify. Both the Bureau Of Meteorology in Darwin and Perth are mentioning the possibility of this system intensifying if it can get offshore. In fact this system has two chances to intensify. The first is in the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf later tomorrow and Wednesday while the second could be off the Pilbara coastline if it can get offshore.&nb...
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