Oz Cyclone Chasers Cyclone Blog
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A Tropical LOW has formed this afternoon and will gradually deepen from later tomorrow while moving southwards in the Indian Ocean off Western Australia's coastline. Computer models indicate the system is likely to attain Tropical Cyclone intensity on Wednesday or Thursday while approaching the Pilbara coastline. Below is a preliminary assessment of available model guidance of track/crossing locations and intensities. Please be aware this is preliminary data and until the LOW form...
Tropical Cyclone Dineo hit Mozambique's (East Africa) coastline a little after 1AM this morning Queensland time. The system made landfall as a Category 3 Tropical Cyclone on the Australian scale with wind gusts likely to have been in the vicinity of 160 - 180km/hr. The Tropical Cyclone was the strongest one to hit Mozambique's coastline since TC Jokwe in 2008. Dineo is the third tropical cyclone of the so-far very quiet SW Indian Ocean cyclone season (The SW Indian Ocean season r...
Hot on the heels of the Western Australian LOW, another LOW is likely to form in the Gulf Of Carpentaria in a couple of days. Contrary to what some media outlets and social media pages might have you believe there is no threat of this system becoming a tropical cyclone off the Far Northern Queensland coast , we've even heard of some ridiculous predictions of a cyclone or LOW hitting our lovely home - Townsville - by Saturday. This is utter garbage. The system is likely to for...
A Tropical LOW is developing near the Kimberley coastline. The LOW will move offshore tomorrow and develop further. On Wednesday the LOW will move south and lie near or on the Pilbara coast. Gales with damaging wind gusts will develop along the Pilbara coast and widespread rain will also accompany these strong winds. Let's take a look at what computer models have to say. The Euro model has a borderline Category One system making landfall on Wednesday evening near Roebourne with winds ...
Well by now we should all know that the monsoon is firing up and will create a LOW for Western Australia, but did you know latest computer model outputs from multiple weather models show the Gulf Of Carpentaria joining in on the action with a LOW/cyclone of their own? A couple of models even show a LOW in the Coral Sea off Queensland's North-East coast. The primary action of course is already showing signs of forming soon near Timor. That first LOW will remain weak and ...
The monsoon is ready to fire up again with a Tropical LOW likely to form along it early next week. If this LOW can get itself over water then it has reasonable potential to intensify into a Tropical Cyclone. The LOW is likely to form near the Top End coast of the Northern Territory, but as the image shows above there are two possible formation locations on Monday or Tuesday and it is unclear which of these formation locations will become the dominant region for cyclogenesis . The LOW i...
A Tropical LOW has formed to the near north of Mount Isa this afternoon and will track into the Northern Territory tomorrow. The LOW will take the heavy showers and thunderstorms away into the Northern Territory with it. The Bureau Of Meteorology in the Northern Territory has issued Severe Thunderstorm Warnings and flood watches for inland rivers over the next few days. Ensemble modelling shows falls of up to 150mm possible tomorrow across the Barkly Districts of the NT and the Tanami region on ...
The NT LOW has finally made its decision to move west towards the Western Top End. All eyes will now be on the LOW and whether it can get offshore and intensify. Both the Bureau Of Meteorology in Darwin and Perth are mentioning the possibility of this system intensifying if it can get offshore. In fact this system has two chances to intensify. The first is in the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf later tomorrow and Wednesday while the second could be off the Pilbara coastline if it can get offshore.&nb...