Oz Cyclone Chasers
WILD NIGHT AHEAD FOR THE PHILIPPINES AS CAT 5 CYCLONE BEARS DOWN
Tropical Cyclone Nock-Ten remains a very strong Category 5 system as it approaches the Philippines tonight. The Joint Typhoon Warning Centre estimates that the system packs wind gusts to 305km/hr. The system is likely to pass very close to Manila tomorrow afternoon and still maintain around a Category Three intensity. Nock Ten is reported to be the strongest late-season Tropical Cyclone recorded in the region in over 50 years (since TC Susan in 1963).
The satellite estimated minimum pressure is 915Hpa and the max winds (sustained) are estimated at around 125 knots Currently the system packs its greatest punch to the north of the centre and assuming no structural changes take place this is bad news for Manila tomorrow which is likely to be located on the northern semi-circle. However the land interaction over the next several hours should weaken it considerably.
Once Nock-Ten dies mid week, the Aussie monsoon will kick back in again later in the week and should spawn a new monsoonal LOW.