Oz Cyclone Chasers
NOCK-TEN DOWNGRADED - MANILA SPARED FROM THE WORST
Great news as this morning as land interaction a track a little further south than initially forecast have resulted in a downgrade of the winds to be experienced over downtown Manila later today.
Nock-Ten was a Cat 5 with winds estimated by the JTWC to be gusting to 305km/hr and a pressure of 915Hpa has since been downgraded after crossing some of the rugged terrain of the Philippines.
At this stage downtown Manila should experience sustained northerly winds of 20-30 knots with gusts to around 40-50 knots. Those winds are a good 20-30 knots lower than what was initially feared a few days ago and will spare the city from major damage. Because the system will pick up some forward speed today, heavy rainfall from Nock-Ten won't last very long either.
The system is expected to pass very close to Batangas City (pop 300000) around mid afternoon with wind gusts likely to reach 80 - 90 knots as it passes through.
Once the system dies in a couple of days, the Australian monsoon will rebuild