Oz Cyclone Chasers Cyclone Blog
Monsoon Trough continues to strengthen
Monsoonal conditions continuing to establish themselves across the Top End and the Gulf. It even looks as though a low is trying to get itself organised to the south of Katherine but still early days yet. Models agree on an active Monsoon for the NT Coast but still a little uncertainty with regard to where any lows will initially form.
Any lows that do form over the Top End are likely to take an initial NW track with some modelling going for a deepening one in the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf and others pushing one as far north as the Tiwi Islands before a gradual SW movement from the New Year on.
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