Oz Cyclone Chasers Cyclone Blog

Welcome to our OCC Blog! We will be posting frequently on this blog so please check back for new items regularly. You can also subscribe to get notifications of new posts.
Font size: +

MONSOON TO PRODUCE SOME HEAVY RAIN AND 2-3 LOWS ACROSS NORTHERN AUSTRALIA

As we can see in the image above widespread heavy falls of rain are expected over the next 10 days due to the redevelopment and intensification of the monsoon trough. Along the trough we see anywehere between one and three tropical LOWS forming in the next 10 days. 
Their locations are likely to be:

  1. ​Barkly region of NT near Tennant Creek tracking north-west towards the Western Top End. If this system gets off the coast of the NT or Kimberley, it may develop into a Tropical Cyclone mid to late next week. 
  2. A weak LOW pressure system in the Gulf Of Carpentaria likely to track south and lie near the QLD/NT border and remain weak 
  3. A complex and deep trough  with a possible embedded LOW off the North Queensland coast forms on the weekend which will then push south and approach the Central Coast of Queensland on Monday or Tuesday. 
The image below thanks to tropicaltidbits.com shows the expected position/location and movement of the three LOWS next Monday from the GFS ensemble. 
STATE WEATHER UPDATES DECEMBER 30 2016
THE NORTHERN TERRITORY MONSOON LOW HAS FORMED