Oz Cyclone Chasers Cyclone Blog
THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM
Very active monsoonal conditions are expected in the Top End from today with the NW Coast including Darwin expecting squally conditions by Sunday night.
Interestingly, a very small surface eddy formed just to the east of Darwin this morning which could locally enhance rainfall in the region. These types of features are very common in Monsoon Troughs and are not easy to forecast. As the trough slowly migrates southwards to near the base of the Top End this week, squally NW winds will set in to its north with intense thunderstorms occurring to its south.
The NE Arnhem and North Coast district will see these squally monsoonal conditions setting in first followed by the NW and West coasts. The whole Top End looks like it will do very well with this event with a second westward moving low in the GOC possible from next weekend. Enjoy the rain though as there are some indications below average rainfall could follow and persist until mid March.
Latest visible 500m Satellite Image from our OCC weather centre below, it is currenty showing some very high and cold cloud tops on the trough which is more or less sitting right on the coast. Become an OCC subscriber and access high res satellite, radar and lightning animations along with daily wet season forecast videos at www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/subscribe