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CORAL SEA SET TO FIRE UP AGAIN LATE NEXT WEEK

In the Aussie cyclone season that initially didn't want to begin and now doesn't want to end, a new LOW is set to form in the far North-Eastern Coral Sea and begin moving westwards later next week. Early indications are that the LOW will form along a trough line in the South-West Pacific Ocean. The exact origin varies from around the Solomon Islands through to Vanuatu but models are clearly intent on moving it westwards into the Coral Sea by next weekend. 

Of course, it is too early to speculate on the intensity and certainly too early to speculate on track or whether there will be a coastal crossing anywhere along the Queensland coast. Initial indications do point to a favourable environment for intensification later next week in the far North-Eastern Coral Sea in the vicinity of where the LOW should be. And before anyone asks, the waters in the Coral Sea over the next few weeks are still well and truly warm enough to support the heat engine requirements of a Tropical Cyclone. 

We'll have more details on this system once models begin solidifying on a more probable solution next week. 

 
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