Oz Cyclone Chasers Cyclone Blog

Welcome to our OCC Blog! We will be posting frequently on this blog so please check back for new items regularly. You can also subscribe to get notifications of new posts.

OCC WEATHER CENTRE RADAR - CHANGE

​For those who subscribe to our OCC Eyewall subscription membership, you will have noticed something a little different today. The scale for our radar has been updated. One of the key benefits with the OCC radar is its high resolution imagery.  To access high res radar and satellite imagery, please become an OCC subscriber at www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/subscribe ​On our scale we have now added an estimation of the actual intensity of the rainfall that the colours represent. This is di...
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THE RAIN HAS JUST BEGUN ACROSS QUEENSLAND

​In what can only be marveled in awe and classed as unseasonal. Parts of the state's south may receive near record breaking September rainfall. Long standing records in inland southern Queensland range from about 100-200mm for September and during the last half of the month, those records may come under serious threat. Remember most Southern and inland parts of the state have an average of 10-30mm for September (in fact that's about the average for most/all of Queensland), so this is t...
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TROPICAL CYCLONE MERANTI UNDERGOES EYE WALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE

As Meranti approaches the southern tip of Taiwan, he has decided to undergo a procedure called an Eyewall replacement cycle. Basically what occurs is a new eye tries to form around the old eye. The new eye then shrinks and takes the place of the old eye, in the meantime the old eye 'dies'.  Gain access to Australia's most comprehensive cyclone information in season 2016/2017  Become an Oz Cyclone Chasers Subscriber at www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/subscribe The result is that during this...
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CYCLONE MERANTI - 2016'S PERFECT CYCLONE?

CYCLONE MERANTI - 2016'S PERFECT CYCLONE?
​As expected yesterday, Meranti further intensified into a Strong Category 5 tropical cyclone today and looking at the imagery below, you would have to say it's the best looking cyclone of 2016 to date, even slightly better looking than Nepartak in July.  Become an Oz Cyclone Chasers subscriber today and access Australia's most comprehensive cyclone information for 2016/2017 Head to www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/subscribe   The cyclone is packing wind gusts estimated to 195 knots (360km/...
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SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MERANTI BREAKS THE FORCEFIELD

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MERANTI BREAKS THE FORCEFIELD
A major tropical cyclone is brewing in the NW Pacific Ocean. Tropical Cyclone Meranti will be the first cyclone since late July to move west and hit a country other than Japan in the NW Pacific basin The Category 4 Tropical Cyclone continues to intensify gradually and is expected to hit Taiwan Wednesday night or Eastern China Thursday most likely as a category 5. However there is still a large enough error margin that keeps the Northern parts of the Philippines in harms way as well, while t...
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TOWNSVILLE AND NE QLD COAST COPS SOME RAIN YAY

TOWNSVILLE AND NE QLD COAST COPS SOME RAIN YAY
Some moderate to heavy showers have hit Townsville suburbs this morning. The showers have also extended northwards to the Herbert coastline all the way north to Cairns. General rainfall of 5-15mm have been reported which means quite a few Townsville suburbs have just got September's average rainfall in one shower.  Become an Oz Cyclone Chasers subscriber and gain access to our Tropical Cyclone Seasonal outlook for season 2016/2017 and support our team. Subscribe today at www.ozcyc...
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BIG 14 DAYS OF WEATHER COMING UP

Well the stage is set for some big rains across inland Australia and South Eastern Australia, but almost everyone should get something from the upcoming fortnight of weather coming up. The combination of enhanced moisture from an unusually warm ocean to the north and north-west of Australia will combine with multiple trough systems to funnel moisture southwards through inland Australia and to the SE.  Want to know what effect these warmer waters could have on our cyclone season in 2016/2017...
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TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASON OUTLOOK - PUBLIC

THIS IS AN UNOFFICIAL OZ CYCLONE CHASERS OUTLOOK - The official Bureau Of Meteorology outlook is released in Mid October.  All signs are pointing to a near average Tropical Cyclone Season across the Australian basin (from 90E - 160E). The combination of a Cool-Neutral pattern moving towards a Neutral pattern in the ENSO Pacific region and a Negative IOD moving towards a Neutral IOD in the west of the continent results in an overall near average season coming up.  Positive rainfall...
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MACKAY GETS WETTEST SEPTEMBER DAY SINCE 2010

​Mackay was lucky enough to receive almost 40mm (39.8mm) in the 24 hours to 9am this morning thanks to some heavy showers and consistent light rain yesterday and overnight. This makes it the wettest day in Mackay since the 30th September 2010 when Mackay received 41.6mm in 24 hours. 2010 was also the wettest year on record for Mackay, receiving 2944mm for the year. This takes Mackay's total rainfall up to 1441.6mm for the year, which is well above their average up until the end of September of 1...
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SUMMER IS COMING!!!

​The White Walkers are being pushed back, and the sand snakes are moving north. Ok for those that don't get Game Of Thrones, that means temperatures are starting to warm up across Northern Queensland. A warm air mass is spreading across the northern half of the state over the next few days and doesn't look like going anywhere in a hurry once it establishes itself. Temps on the coast today will hit the mid to high 20's and inland the low 30's but by Saturday it'll be a different story. Welco...
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OCC WEATHER CENTRE UPDATE SEPTEMBER 6TH 2016

OCC WEATHER CENTRE UPDATE SEPTEMBER 6TH 2016
Welcome to our first update about our newly developing Weather Centre. Please check out some of the features we have been working on over the past few weeks thanks to the talented programming efforts of Shane Ekerbicer (from ASWA) and Mike Manning (from BSCH) To become an Oz Cyclone Chasers Subscriber please head to www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/subscribe
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SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE NEWTON MAKING LANDFALL IN MEXICO

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE NEWTON MAKING LANDFALL IN MEXICO
​The ragged eye of Severe Tropical Cyclone Newton is making landfall near Cabo San Lucas on the Southern tip of the Baja Peninsula this evening. Severe Tropical Cyclone Newton is a Category Three Tropical Cyclone on the Australian scale. The Tropical Cyclone is packing maximum sustained winds at about 150km/hr with gusts to approximately 200km/hr and a Central Pressure of 979Hpa. Tropical Cyclone Newton rapidly intensified this morning, but his intensification potential was limited due to the ra...
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FIRST NT OBSERVED WATERSPOUT FOR SEASON 2016/2017

You guessed it, the season started off with a bang in parts of the Northern Territory over the weekend. A moist and unstable airmass pushed over the northern parts of the Top End. Jack Feeney was lucky enough to be on location and captured this wonderful image of a spout and a rainbow from the Tiwi Islands. Thanks for sharing Jack, the first one of the season is always special.   The NT will stabilize this week before moisture and instability again creeps in to the area next ...
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TROPICAL CYCLONE NEWTON FORMS AND LIKELY TO HIT MEXICO

Well the Northern hemisphere cyclone season is now entering it's most active climatological peak and it certainly hasn't disappointed. Let's take a look at the past week ​NORTH ATLANTIC - Hermine and Gaston NE PACIFIC - Madeline and Lester (and now Newton) NW PACIFIC - Namtheun So that's 6 named storms operating in the past 7 days (7 if we include Lionrock's dying day).  To support our chase and documentary team, please consider becoming an Oz Cyclone Chasers subscriber. Subscribers get acc...
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TROPICAL CYCLONE NAMTHEUN TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT IN JAPAN

While we've all been watching (Trav especially) the USA's Florida coastline for Hermine, a tropical cyclone has been ravaging Japan's southern islands. Tropical Cyclone Namtheun is set to make landfall on the Japanese mainland in a few hours as a weakening Category 2 system on the Australian scale. Don't let the fact that it's now weakening deter you from the fact that this was a significant cyclone at one stage nudging Category 4 intensities (on our scale) but thankfully as it encounters less f...
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SEPTEMBER - WHAT A BEAUTIFUL MONTH

SEPTEMBER - WHAT A BEAUTIFUL MONTH
​A little segment I'd like to start for the start of each month is an idea of what is average in terms of rainfall expectations for each segment of the north.  September is traditionally the driest or second driest month of the year (August tends to be the driest in the NT and North Kimberley, September in QLD, September and October in NW WA). It is the final month of the true dry season up north, yet it seems to go quicker than other dry season months because we start to anticipate th...
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HURRICANE HERMINE TO IMPACT FLORIDA TONIGHT

​Tropical Cyclone Hermine is the first Hurricane (Cat 2+ Tropical Cyclone on our Aussie scale) to impact Florida (USA) in 11 years. It is expected to make landfall as a Category Three system on our Australian scale (Cat 1 on the American scale) overnight tonight Australian time.  The system is expected to intensify slightly as it approaches the coastline given a marginally favourable environmental profile. The system will go through a period of slowly increasing vertical wind...
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TROUGH MOVES THROUGH QUEENSLAND

A strong trough system is moving through Queensland at the moment and is dumping some moderate falls of rain across the Southern and Western parts of the state.  The image below from the OCC Weather Centre shows the cloud associated with the trough system at 8:00AM this morning. Find out how much you could receive this week by becoming an OCC Subscriber and supporting the OCC team. Head to www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/subscribe to join us :D  The trough has already dumped significa...
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SMALL EAST COAST LOW TO DEVELOP TOMORROW

SMALL EAST COAST LOW TO DEVELOP TOMORROW
Well it has been a boring week or two, so it's good to see the atmosphere spicing things up again for NE NSW and SE QLD.  An upper trough/LOW will induce a number of surface LOWS along along a surface based trough tomorrow between Port Macquarie and Byron Bay. The surface system will track northwards tomorrow night and strong winds will make their way as far as the Gold and Sunshine Coasts of Queensland on Thursday. Heavy rain will be limited to the NSW side of the QLD/NSW border. ...
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WELL IT'S OVER AND WHAT AN EVENT IT WAS!!!

WELL IT'S OVER AND WHAT AN EVENT IT WAS!!!
​Well except for some showers on the North Tropical Coast and some isolated weak showers inland, this astounding out of season weather event is over.  Remember on Saturday, I gave you this photo and told you it was going to get a lot more colourful by Wednesday? Well at the end of this eventful week, as promised, here is the new weekly rain totals across the state. And here is what we average for the month of July. I'll let you figure out just how amazing this event has been for so many par...
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